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SUMMARY

A cloudy morning today with some rain, especially across Shetland. Becoming dry and much brighter by the afternoon with some sunshine. Light and variable winds. Some showers later this evening then clear periods developing overnight as showers become fewer. S or SW値y winds freshening.

Dry and bright for much of Friday, then clouding over through the afternoon with the chance of some rain for the evening and overnight. S to SE値y winds increasing strong to near gale.

Cloudy on Saturday with rain early and late, but drier and brighter for a time around the middle of the day. Strong S値y winds. Becoming drier and clearer overnight with S鼠y winds easing a little. Brighter on Sunday and Monday with some showers and sunny spells. Fresh S to SW値y winds.

Staying changeable through next week with rain or showers and also windy at times. Some drier, brighter interludes with lighter winds, perhaps more so towards the last few days of the month and into the start of October.

 

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GENERAL SITUATION AND SYNOPSIS 06:00 UTC 22/09/2016

A waving front over the Northern Isles will edge east today as a depression near Iceland moves into the Norwegian Sea as a filling feature. A fresh S値y airflow will ease and become SW値y

On Friday the airflow will back S値y and strengthen ahead of further fronts expected to cross the Northern Isles overnight on Friday as the next Atlantic depression tracks towards Iceland, A front is expected to be slow to clear the Northern Isles on Saturday but be pushed clear by Sunday as the depression tracks northeast past Iceland.

Further depressions, forecast to run mainly northeast between he British Isles and Iceland, are likely to maintain unsettled and changeable conditions into next week.

High pressure, predicted to build to the west of the UK later next week, may bring a quieter end to the month.

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FORECAST FOR NEXT THREE DAYS 

A daytime high of 13ー to 15ー Celsius with overnight lows down to 10ー or 11ー Celsius.

THURSDAY 22nd: A cloudy start with some rain, especially across Shetland where there are likely to be some heavy bursts. Becoming dry by the end of the morning with the cloud lifting and breaking to give a dry and much brighter afternoon with some sunshine. Light and variable winds. After a dry start this evening scattered showers will spread in from the southwest later. Clear periods developing overnight as showers become fewer. S or SW値y winds freshening F5.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre S値y wind-swell.

FRIDAY 23rd: Dry for much of the day with some sunny spells in the morning, then clouding over through the afternoon. The chance of some rain later as F5 S to SE値y winds increase F6-7. A windy night with some rain.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre SW値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

SATURDAY 24th: Cloudy with rain, this persistent and heavy at first and again later, but becoming drier and brighter for a time around the middle of the day. F6-7 S値y winds. Becoming drier and clearer overnight with S鼠y winds easing F5-6.
Sea State: Rough, with a 3 to 4 metre S to SW値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

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TEN DAY OUTLOOK

Temperatures rising to 13ー to 15ー Celsius by day, with overnight lows falling to 8ー or 9ー Celsius.

SUNDAY 25th: A brighter day with some showers and sunny spells. Fresh S to SW値y winds.
Sea State: Moderate to rough, with a 2 to 3 metre SW値y wind-swell. Highest in the west.

MONDAY 26th: Bright with scattered showers and sunny spells. Fresh S to SW値y winds.
Sea State: Perhaps rough, with a 3 to 4 metre SW値y wind-swell.

TUESDAY 27th SUNDAY 2nd: Staying changeable with rain or showers and windy at times. Also some drier, brighter interludes with lighter winds, perhaps more so towards the end of the week.
Sea State Tuesday: Possibly rough, with a 3 to 4 metre SW値y wind-swell.

 

10-Day Weather Outlook
for Shetland, Orkney and Caithness

Page updated
Thursday, 22 September 2016, 10:43

WEATHER HEADLINES

  Today

Rain clearing then mostly dry and bright. Some showers later. Light winds.

  Tonight

Scattered showers and clear spells. Breezy.

  Tomorrow

Mainly dry and bright. Rain later. Becoming windy.

  Days 3 5

Windy with outbreaks of rain on Saturday. Drier, brighter and less windy on Sunday and Monday.

Days 6-10

Staying changeable with rain or showers and also windy at times. Possibly drier and brighter with lighter winds later.

 

FAIR ISLE WEATHER DATA
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Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)
16th December 2006, 0904z
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9) Looking NNE
.
Showery SW to W'ly airflow
Temp 6.1°C, dew point 1.6°C, wind 240° 17kt

Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
24th May 2006, 1300z
Cumulus mediocris developing over Fair Isle
and forming a 'clouc street' downwind
of the Isle (CL2)
Temp 9.0°C, dew point 4.5°C, wind F2 S'ly.
Stratocumulus formed from the spreading out of cumulus
24th May 2006, 2001z
Stratocumulus formed from the
spreading out of cumulus (CL4)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Approaching shower. Cumulonimbus with anvil
24th May 2006, 2016z
Approaching shower.
Cumulonimbus with anvil (CL9)

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly
Showers over Shetland and passing through the Fair Isle Channel
24th May 2006, 2034z
Showers over Shetland and passing through
the Fair Isle Channel. Cumulonimbus with anvil

Temp 7 °C, dew point 5 °C, wind F3 W'ly

 

Fair Isle, South LighthouseFair Isle, South Lighthouse


Full moon rising
1700 UTC 25th October

Full moon rising


SYNOPSIS DAYS 1-3 DAYS 4-10
Disclaimer CHARTS


Shetland Weather Review
2004-2010

 

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DISCLAIMER
This outlook is based on an appraisal of the charts and ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, UKMO and FAX available via the internet, and over 30 years of local weather experience.

Be aware that the weather over north-west Europe - and especially around the Northern Isles - is part of an ever-changing and dynamic system. Therefore regard the 10-Day Outlook' as a guide only - there are times when any outlook going beyond about 36 to 48 hours is likely to prove unreliable.

Always check the latest forecast from the UK Met Office before undertaking any weather-dependant activity.

All forecasts are for planning purposes only.

Neither Dave Wheeler, nor any employee of Fair Isle Weather Services, accepts any liability for the accuracy of this forecast.


Please note that this page is usually updated every day (around mid-morning) but on occasions updates may be irregular. A daily service by e-mail is available, but is charged for.

If you wish you can have the 10-day Outlook e-mailed to you free once a week (usually at the weekend). Please contact Fair Isle Weather Services for further information
.


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aurura glow

Aurora glow, looking north towards Ward Hill
(l ights of Setter croft foreground)
Photograph taken about 2100UTC 18th October 2007
Pentax K10D with Pentax DA 16-45mm F4 w/a lens set at 16mm
Exposure 193 seconds at F5.6 ISO100

AuroraWatch www.dcs.lancs.ac.uk/iono/aurorawatch/

 

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Reflections of Shetland - a set of four DVD’s showing a personal view of the changing seasons of Shetland inspired by John J. Graham’s poem. 

 

 

 
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Bright with an occasional shower. Light winds freshening across Shetland.

Orkney becoming warm dry and bright as rain moves on into Shetland, before clearing later. Breezy.